Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 12 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 44.5% | 30.1% | −14.4 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 30.7% | 21.1% | −9.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 25.2% | 16.3% | −8.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 61.4% | 70.0% | +8.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 25.3% | 33.7% | +8.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 16.4% | 8.6% | −7.8 |
| Levante | Relegation | 23.0% | 28.9% | +5.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 32.1% | 37.7% | +5.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 45.8% | 51.3% | +5.4 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 7.8% | 3.2% | −4.6 |
