Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 65.7% | 53.1% | −12.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 29.8% | 18.8% | −10.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 29.2% | 40.0% | +10.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 54.4% | 64.3% | +9.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 34.0% | 24.9% | −9.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 66.3% | 75.4% | +9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.2% | 11.0% | −7.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 8.4% | 14.8% | +6.4 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 12.2% | 18.5% | +6.3 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 18.9% | 13.5% | −5.5 |
