Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Espanyol with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 5 (before the first match) against those on February 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 61.5% | 44.7% | −16.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 27.1% | 14.0% | −13.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 20.5% | 8.2% | −12.3 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 58.0% | 48.2% | −9.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 87.8% | 78.7% | −9.1 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 42.6% | 50.6% | +8.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 22.5% | 29.8% | +7.3 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 34.4% | 41.5% | +7.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 31.6% | 38.4% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 21.8% | 27.4% | +5.7 |
