Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 49.2% | 38.2% | −11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 75.5% | 83.3% | +7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 29.5% | 36.8% | +7.3 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 19.7% | 13.6% | −6.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 12.0% | 6.2% | −5.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 34.0% | 39.4% | +5.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 39.5% | 44.7% | +5.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 33.5% | 38.3% | +4.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 11.5% | 7.1% | −4.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 10.3% | 14.6% | +4.3 |
