Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Real Sociedad with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 65.0% | 77.8% | +12.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 33.5% | 21.2% | −12.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 50.4% | 39.5% | −10.9 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 42.8% | 53.5% | +10.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 65.5% | 55.3% | −10.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 26.1% | 35.9% | +9.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 65.7% | 75.5% | +9.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 42.9% | 34.0% | −9.0 |
| Valencia | Champion | 23.7% | 31.9% | +8.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 29.8% | 21.7% | −8.1 |
