Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Mallorca with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 52.9% | 41.3% | −11.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 53.8% | 42.8% | −11.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 25.2% | 34.2% | +9.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 28.9% | 20.2% | −8.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 57.6% | 65.0% | +7.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 22.4% | 29.8% | +7.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 26.6% | 33.5% | +6.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 17.3% | 23.7% | +6.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 19.8% | 26.1% | +6.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.8% | 9.8% | −6.0 |
