Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 14.9% chance and Espanyol beat Real Betis with a 16.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 35.4% | 22.4% | −13.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 39.1% | 26.6% | −12.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 24.3% | 12.5% | −11.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 35.5% | 47.0% | +11.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 42.5% | 52.9% | +10.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.0% | 25.2% | −9.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 59.0% | 68.3% | +9.3 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 20.3% | 29.5% | +9.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 16.7% | 8.7% | −8.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 20.0% | 27.0% | +7.1 |
