Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Real Madrid with a 20.3% chance and Numancia beat Albacete with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 13 (before the first match) against those on February 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 29.2% | 46.2% | +17.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 55.0% | 40.3% | −14.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 24.5% | 36.9% | +12.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 32.3% | 44.6% | +12.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 45.4% | 33.7% | −11.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 79.1% | 89.6% | +10.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.4% | 9.5% | −9.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 20.7% | 12.4% | −8.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 41.4% | 49.6% | +8.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 59.4% | 51.6% | −7.8 |
