Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Mallorca with a 24.7% chance, Málaga beat Osasuna with a 24.8% chance, and Getafe beat Athletic Club with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 46.2% | 85.6% | +39.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 51.6% | 18.4% | −33.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 49.6% | 79.1% | +29.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 40.3% | 12.9% | −27.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 24.3% | 3.5% | −20.8 |
| Levante | Relegation | 18.9% | 4.8% | −14.0 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 16.8% | 30.7% | +14.0 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 21.1% | 8.0% | −13.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 11.0% | 23.4% | +12.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 3.7% | 15.6% | +11.9 |
