Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Valencia with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 6 (before the first match) against those on February 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 39.9% | 55.0% | +15.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 44.9% | 59.4% | +14.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 59.2% | 45.4% | −13.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 53.4% | 41.4% | −12.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 21.5% | 10.8% | −10.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 42.4% | 32.3% | −10.0 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 30.7% | 20.7% | −10.0 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 21.5% | 29.2% | +7.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 14.6% | 21.4% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 9.3% | 15.6% | +6.3 |
