Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Barcelona with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 30 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 86.4% | 75.4% | −11.0 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 31.5% | 21.5% | −10.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 11.1% | 20.5% | +9.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.7% | 44.9% | +9.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 22.6% | 14.6% | −7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 14.4% | 21.7% | +7.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 66.4% | 59.2% | −7.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 21.9% | 15.1% | −6.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 12.3% | 18.1% | +5.8 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 21.0% | 26.0% | +4.9 |
