Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Zaragoza with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 42.9% | 54.1% | +11.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 42.2% | 31.1% | −11.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 26.0% | 37.0% | +11.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 66.9% | 56.0% | −10.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 62.6% | 72.5% | +9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 16.2% | 7.6% | −8.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 17.1% | 9.1% | −8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 22.0% | 14.2% | −7.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 29.8% | 22.6% | −7.2 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 9.8% | 16.3% | +6.5 |
