Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Málaga with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 36.4% | 21.9% | −14.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.0% | 67.2% | +11.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 38.0% | 27.1% | −10.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 16.3% | 24.7% | +8.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 22.3% | 30.2% | +7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 31.4% | 23.7% | −7.7 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 87.0% | 79.2% | −7.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 31.1% | 38.0% | +7.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 17.6% | 23.6% | +6.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 54.1% | 60.0% | +5.9 |
