Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Numancia beat Sevilla with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 42.5% | 31.7% | −10.9 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 56.9% | 46.3% | −10.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.8% | 66.9% | +10.1 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 24.1% | 33.0% | +8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 9.5% | 16.2% | +6.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 68.7% | 62.6% | −6.1 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 88.6% | 82.5% | −6.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 20.2% | 26.0% | +5.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 18.8% | 23.9% | +5.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 22.2% | 17.1% | −5.0 |
