Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Valencia with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 41.8% | 56.8% | +15.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 68.1% | 56.9% | −11.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 58.1% | 47.5% | −10.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 16.0% | 25.2% | +9.3 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 10.3% | 18.8% | +8.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 25.8% | 17.8% | −7.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 15.5% | 22.2% | +6.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 63.1% | 68.7% | +5.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 83.2% | 88.6% | +5.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 13.0% | 7.6% | −5.4 |
