Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Mallorca with a 20.0% chance and Levante beat Osasuna with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 37.3% | 25.8% | −11.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 29.3% | 39.7% | +10.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 56.7% | 47.5% | −9.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 25.1% | 16.0% | −9.1 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 74.4% | 83.2% | +8.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 11.4% | 20.0% | +8.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 33.8% | 41.8% | +8.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 60.2% | 68.1% | +7.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 13.0% | 7.6% | −5.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 29.5% | 25.2% | −4.3 |
