Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Mallorca with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 76.7% | 60.5% | −16.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 55.1% | 66.9% | +11.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 54.2% | 42.6% | −11.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 72.9% | 62.8% | −10.1 |
| Valencia | Champion | 14.4% | 24.3% | +9.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 16.6% | 25.7% | +9.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 74.3% | 65.7% | −8.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 25.3% | 17.1% | −8.2 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 38.8% | 46.3% | +7.6 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 15.0% | 22.1% | +7.0 |
