Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ValenciaChampions League43.1%55.1%+12.0
Real ValladolidRelegation16.0%7.5%−8.5
Real SociedadChampions League46.3%54.2%+7.8
BarcelonaChampions League41.5%33.9%−7.5
Real ZaragozaRelegation40.1%47.1%+7.0
Real MadridChampions League66.3%72.9%+6.6
Atlético MadridRelegation11.4%17.6%+6.2
Real MurciaRelegation46.6%40.7%−6.0
EspanyolRelegation34.0%38.8%+4.8
Racing SantanderRelegation21.3%16.6%−4.7
Home 56.1%
Draw 24.2%
Away 19.7%
Home 35.6%
Draw 29.8%
Away 34.6%
Home 76.1%
Draw 19.4%
Away 4.6%
Home 49.7%
Draw 25.9%
Away 24.4%
Home 55.3%
Draw 24.4%
Away 20.3%
Home 35.8%
Draw 29.8%
Away 34.4%
Home 62.5%
Draw 22.6%
Away 14.8%
Home 71.5%
Draw 20.4%
Away 8.0%
Home 28.4%
Draw 27.4%
Away 44.2%
Home 28.6%
Draw 27.5%
Away 43.9%