Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Celta Vigo with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 62.4% | 40.1% | −22.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 33.9% | 19.3% | −14.7 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 35.4% | 46.6% | +11.2 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 20.1% | 11.2% | −8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.7% | 66.3% | +8.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 21.7% | 13.3% | −8.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 62.3% | 70.1% | +7.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 19.6% | 12.0% | −7.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 15.3% | 22.4% | +7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 12.3% | 18.3% | +6.0 |
