Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Mallorca with a 24.8% chance and Espanyol beat Osasuna with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 84.5% | 60.8% | −23.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 27.1% | 50.1% | +23.0 |
| Valencia | Champion | 71.9% | 49.3% | −22.5 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 58.6% | 79.9% | +21.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 11.7% | 31.4% | +19.7 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 62.3% | 43.1% | −19.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 79.6% | 60.5% | −19.1 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 7.7% | 21.7% | +14.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 50.1% | 39.3% | −10.8 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 7.4% | 15.7% | +8.4 |
