Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Betis with a 19.5% chance and Osasuna beat Real Madrid with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on April 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 56.6% | 26.1% | −30.5 |
| Valencia | Champion | 42.8% | 72.4% | +29.6 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 40.9% | 63.1% | +22.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 33.0% | 11.7% | −21.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 69.7% | 49.9% | −19.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 44.1% | 57.6% | +13.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 74.0% | 84.5% | +10.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 70.0% | 79.5% | +9.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 7.1% | 1.1% | −5.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 11.4% | 6.8% | −4.6 |
