Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Sevilla with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 69.8% | 53.5% | −16.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 25.2% | 9.9% | −15.3 |
| Valencia | Champion | 27.7% | 41.7% | +14.0 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 43.7% | 56.6% | +12.9 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 22.5% | 10.8% | −11.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 35.4% | 46.1% | +10.7 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 32.8% | 41.4% | +8.6 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 10.3% | 17.8% | +7.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 12.3% | 5.3% | −7.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 13.0% | 6.6% | −6.4 |
