Round 28

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on March 7 (before the first match) against those on March 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Celta VigoRelegation38.0%55.1%+17.1
MallorcaRelegation33.9%17.8%−16.1
ValenciaChampion14.4%27.7%+13.3
EspanyolRelegation69.9%83.0%+13.1
Real MadridChampion82.0%69.8%−12.3
BarcelonaChampions League87.9%96.2%+8.4
BarcelonaEuropa League10.8%3.5%−7.3
SevillaEuropa League31.3%25.2%−6.0
OsasunaEuropa League27.5%32.8%+5.4
Real ValladolidRelegation8.6%3.3%−5.3
Home 67.3%
Draw 21.4%
Away 11.3%
Home 52.1%
Draw 25.3%
Away 22.7%
Home 42.0%
Draw 28.0%
Away 30.0%
Home 34.6%
Draw 29.8%
Away 35.6%
Home 43.6%
Draw 27.6%
Away 28.9%
Home 50.9%
Draw 25.6%
Away 23.5%
Home 42.8%
Draw 27.8%
Away 29.4%
Home 55.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 20.1%
Home 28.8%
Draw 27.5%
Away 43.7%
Home 36.3%
Draw 29.6%
Away 34.1%