Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Celta Vigo with a 15.0% chance and Real Valladolid beat Athletic Club with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 29 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 16.7% | 38.0% | +21.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 17.5% | 31.3% | +13.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 21.2% | 33.9% | +12.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 75.4% | 87.9% | +12.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 82.3% | 69.9% | −12.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.6% | 7.2% | −10.3 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 20.6% | 10.8% | −9.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 18.1% | 8.6% | −9.5 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 28.0% | 18.7% | −9.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 22.9% | 16.6% | −6.4 |
