Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Real Valladolid with a 20.3% chance, Albacete beat Real Sociedad with a 14.9% chance, and Barcelona beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 22 (before the first match) against those on February 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 71.2% | 85.6% | +14.4 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 42.2% | 28.0% | −14.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 36.5% | 22.9% | −13.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 10.2% | 21.2% | +11.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 28.0% | 38.4% | +10.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 65.1% | 75.4% | +10.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 8.1% | 18.1% | +10.0 |
| Valencia | Champion | 17.5% | 8.7% | −8.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 18.3% | 9.9% | −8.5 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 40.0% | 48.2% | +8.2 |
