Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Celta Vigo with a 20.2% chance and Barcelona beat Valencia with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 15 (before the first match) against those on February 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 44.1% | 65.1% | +21.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 52.8% | 71.2% | +18.4 |
| Valencia | Champion | 33.1% | 17.5% | −15.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 48.3% | 36.5% | −11.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 78.2% | 88.2% | +10.0 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 35.0% | 25.8% | −9.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 21.5% | 13.6% | −7.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 13.3% | 20.0% | +6.8 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 48.1% | 42.2% | −5.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 4.1% | 9.4% | +5.3 |
