Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Real Zaragoza with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 40.3% | 25.7% | −14.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.4% | 41.9% | +10.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 19.0% | 10.6% | −8.3 |
| Valencia | Champion | 24.7% | 31.5% | +6.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 84.8% | 91.1% | +6.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 12.3% | 17.7% | +5.5 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 15.9% | 10.5% | −5.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 80.7% | 75.6% | −5.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 8.9% | 13.7% | +4.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 14.7% | 19.5% | +4.8 |
