Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Real Sociedad with a 21.4% chance, Real Zaragoza beat Osasuna with a 15.3% chance, and Villarreal beat Real Betis with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 14 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 41.9% | 27.1% | −14.8 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 32.2% | 21.4% | −10.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 13.7% | 23.5% | +9.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 53.5% | 60.7% | +7.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 7.2% | 14.2% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 12.3% | 19.2% | +6.9 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 72.8% | 79.3% | +6.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 9.5% | 15.3% | +5.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Champions League | 5.0% | 10.4% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 6.5% | 11.6% | +5.1 |
