Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Real Sociedad with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 56.0% | 40.3% | −15.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 19.4% | 12.3% | −7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 21.1% | 14.7% | −6.4 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 28.0% | 33.9% | +5.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 44.7% | 50.2% | +5.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 84.2% | 89.6% | +5.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 9.6% | 4.6% | −5.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 6.6% | 11.5% | +4.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 15.9% | 20.7% | +4.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 26.9% | 31.4% | +4.4 |
