Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Valencia with a 12.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 85.3% | 75.6% | −9.7 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 62.3% | 71.7% | +9.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 23.3% | 32.6% | +9.2 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 51.1% | 59.5% | +8.4 |
| Valencia | Champion | 32.9% | 24.7% | −8.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 19.9% | 12.1% | −7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 31.2% | 38.9% | +7.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 87.9% | 80.8% | −7.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 34.8% | 28.9% | −5.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 10.9% | 5.6% | −5.3 |
