Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Celta Vigo with a 16.1% chance and Atlético Madrid beat Real Betis with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 44.8% | 31.4% | −13.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 61.7% | 74.0% | +12.3 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 40.4% | 51.1% | +10.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 74.6% | 85.3% | +10.8 |
| Valencia | Champion | 23.2% | 32.9% | +9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 80.5% | 87.9% | +7.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 12.6% | 19.9% | +7.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 30.3% | 23.3% | −6.9 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 30.2% | 23.4% | −6.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 21.5% | 14.7% | −6.7 |
