Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Málaga with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 41.8% | 28.8% | −13.1 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 32.0% | 22.3% | −9.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 27.1% | 36.9% | +9.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 39.8% | 49.5% | +9.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 32.1% | 41.7% | +9.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 64.3% | 72.2% | +7.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.0% | 48.6% | −7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 59.8% | 52.9% | −6.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 22.7% | 29.6% | +6.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 17.7% | 11.1% | −6.6 |
