Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Betis with a 12.9% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Celta Vigo with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 8 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 78.4% | 88.0% | +9.5 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 45.6% | 36.4% | −9.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 64.0% | 56.0% | −7.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 26.1% | 18.7% | −7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 66.3% | 59.8% | −6.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 5.0% | 11.1% | +6.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 38.0% | 32.1% | −5.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 22.5% | 28.3% | +5.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Champions League | 7.5% | 13.3% | +5.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 25.4% | 19.8% | −5.5 |
