Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Valladolid with a 22.5% chance and Recreativo Huelva beat Osasuna with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 32.7% | 43.3% | +10.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 49.5% | 60.1% | +10.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 24.8% | 14.7% | −10.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 39.5% | 49.4% | +9.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 52.9% | 43.7% | −9.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 86.9% | 78.5% | −8.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 20.5% | 13.7% | −6.8 |
| Valencia | Champion | 29.6% | 36.1% | +6.6 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 22.3% | 15.7% | −6.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 72.2% | 78.4% | +6.2 |
