Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 8.4% chance and Celta Vigo beat Valencia with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 41.8% | 25.1% | −16.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 53.4% | 37.5% | −15.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 33.7% | 47.1% | +13.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.1% | 65.3% | +12.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.0% | 65.8% | +10.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 33.7% | 23.5% | −10.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 71.0% | 61.0% | −10.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 14.1% | 22.7% | +8.6 |
| Valencia | Champion | 25.6% | 17.6% | −8.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 20.8% | 28.3% | +7.5 |
