Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Athletic Club with a 13.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 51.4% | 33.7% | −17.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 47.7% | 34.7% | −13.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 38.4% | 51.2% | +12.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 43.6% | 53.4% | +9.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 37.8% | 45.4% | +7.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 63.5% | 71.0% | +7.5 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 6.4% | 13.8% | +7.4 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 8.3% | 14.3% | +6.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 17.1% | 11.3% | −5.8 |
| Valencia | Champion | 20.0% | 25.6% | +5.7 |
