Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Barcelona beat Valencia with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 1 (before the first match) against those on June 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 34.3% | 75.7% | +41.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 64.1% | 24.3% | −39.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 68.4% | 100% | +31.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 31.6% | 0% | −31.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 31.6% | 0% | −31.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 68.4% | 100% | +31.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 18.3% | 37.8% | +19.5 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 19.5% | 0% | −19.5 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 54.9% | 62.2% | +7.3 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 4.1% | 0% | −4.1 |
