Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on June 15 (before the first match) against those on June 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Athletic ClubEuropa League62.2%0%−62.2
BarcelonaEuropa League37.8%100%+62.2
Real MadridChampion75.7%100%+24.3
Real SociedadChampion24.3%0%−24.3
Home 52.5%
Draw 25.2%
Away 22.4%
Home 45.7%
Draw 27.0%
Away 27.3%
Home 45.7%
Draw 27.0%
Away 27.3%
Home 42.7%
Draw 27.8%
Away 29.5%
Home 47.8%
Draw 26.4%
Away 25.8%
Home 57.8%
Draw 23.8%
Away 18.4%
Home 42.3%
Draw 27.9%
Away 29.8%
Home 47.5%
Draw 26.5%
Away 26.0%
Home 57.4%
Draw 23.9%
Away 18.7%
Home 56.9%
Draw 24.0%
Away 19.1%