Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Valladolid with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on June 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 24.2% | 0% | −24.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 80.3% | 100% | +19.7 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 12.0% | 4.1% | −7.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 12.1% | 19.5% | +7.3 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 11.1% | 18.3% | +7.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 94.7% | 100% | +5.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 59.8% | 54.9% | −4.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 39.1% | 34.3% | −4.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 63.8% | 68.4% | +4.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 36.2% | 31.6% | −4.6 |
