Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: no home wins, 6 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Valencia with a 15.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 51.4% | 27.1% | −24.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 62.8% | 45.3% | −17.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 23.9% | 38.7% | +14.8 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 64.9% | 76.6% | +11.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 24.7% | 34.2% | +9.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 46.2% | 36.9% | −9.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.3% | 62.2% | +8.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 52.9% | 61.5% | +8.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 45.8% | 37.4% | −8.4 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 9.5% | 2.4% | −7.2 |
