Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Madrid with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 76.6% | 51.4% | −25.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 43.5% | 57.3% | +13.8 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 9.7% | 23.6% | +13.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 11.7% | 24.7% | +13.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 11.5% | 23.9% | +12.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 58.6% | 46.2% | −12.4 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 40.9% | 52.9% | +12.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 23.1% | 12.7% | −10.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 43.2% | 53.3% | +10.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 55.9% | 45.8% | −10.1 |
