Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Barcelona with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 36.9% | 70.9% | +34.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 62.2% | 28.7% | −33.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 37.4% | 70.5% | +33.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 61.5% | 29.0% | −32.5 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 62.8% | 35.7% | −27.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 38.7% | 13.5% | −25.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 45.3% | 69.0% | +23.7 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 17.9% | 40.4% | +22.5 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 24.5% | 5.6% | −18.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 17.4% | 35.8% | +18.4 |
