Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Real Betis with a 16.8% chance and Sevilla beat Barcelona with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 57.5% | 43.3% | −14.2 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 34.6% | 22.1% | −12.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.4% | 41.4% | −12.0 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 55.0% | 65.0% | +10.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 73.0% | 82.3% | +9.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 30.3% | 39.3% | +9.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 67.1% | 75.9% | +8.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 14.3% | 22.6% | +8.3 |
| Valencia | Champion | 25.9% | 33.6% | +7.7 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 13.6% | 6.0% | −7.6 |
