Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Atlético Madrid with a 22.9% chance and Deportivo La Coruña beat Valencia with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 15 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champion | 33.6% | 18.5% | −15.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 82.3% | 68.5% | −13.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 65.0% | 54.9% | −10.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 39.3% | 47.9% | +8.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 22.1% | 13.5% | −8.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 11.0% | 19.3% | +8.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 27.6% | 35.2% | +7.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.5% | +7.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 18.6% | 11.3% | −7.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 68.2% | 74.8% | +6.5 |
