Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Athletic Club with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 38.8% | 22.2% | −16.5 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 27.9% | 16.6% | −11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.5% | 61.3% | +10.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 44.4% | 55.0% | +10.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 34.1% | 23.6% | −10.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 48.2% | 57.5% | +9.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 58.1% | 67.1% | +9.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 19.8% | 11.2% | −8.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 37.6% | 30.3% | −7.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 28.2% | 34.6% | +6.5 |
