Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on January 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 48.1% | 82.0% | +33.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.0% | 81.7% | +31.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 46.2% | 19.7% | −26.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 36.9% | 13.1% | −23.8 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 26.7% | 6.1% | −20.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 13.6% | 32.9% | +19.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 26.6% | 9.3% | −17.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.7% | 29.5% | +15.7 |
| Valencia | Champion | 30.7% | 16.7% | −14.0 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 16.0% | 2.8% | −13.2 |
