Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 30 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.7% | 66.2% | +11.5 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 25.0% | 14.3% | −10.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 27.0% | 17.4% | −9.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 16.7% | 25.7% | +9.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 32.3% | 23.5% | −8.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 63.9% | 72.4% | +8.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 43.5% | 51.9% | +8.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 20.7% | 12.6% | −8.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 44.9% | 52.2% | +7.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 22.1% | 29.0% | +6.9 |
