Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Málaga with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 44.6% | 54.7% | +10.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 35.0% | 44.9% | +9.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 35.6% | 45.5% | +9.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 33.8% | 43.5% | +9.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 30.1% | 20.7% | −9.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 20.9% | 14.4% | −6.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 14.2% | 7.7% | −6.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 33.5% | 27.0% | −6.5 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.1% | 24.5% | +6.5 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 16.6% | 11.0% | −5.6 |
