Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Zaragoza with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 44.5% | 30.1% | −14.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 33.6% | 22.6% | −11.0 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 31.7% | 20.9% | −10.8 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 31.6% | 21.0% | −10.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 20.1% | 9.9% | −10.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 25.7% | 34.7% | +9.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 52.7% | 61.5% | +8.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 25.6% | 33.5% | +7.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 56.7% | 63.8% | +7.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 37.9% | 44.6% | +6.7 |
