Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Mallorca with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 21 (before the first match) against those on April 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 41.7% | 8.5% | −33.1 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 21.4% | 53.8% | +32.4 |
| Valencia | Champion | 61.9% | 93.2% | +31.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 34.8% | 6.8% | −28.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 15.3% | 0.6% | −14.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 14.9% | 0.4% | −14.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 94.4% | 83.3% | −11.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 5.6% | 16.7% | +11.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 81.9% | 92.8% | +10.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 44.0% | 53.4% | +9.3 |
